Twilight Zone: Disarming Israel
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Bret Stephens writes a very poignant piece in today’s WSJ, bringing us “news from the future”… a mock news report from next January recounting how Iran, with the help of the UN, turned the tables on Israel and brought the spotlight of nuclear development to shine suddenly into Israel’s long-dark corner of the world.
Judging by the souring relations between Obama and Israel and by the Twilight Zone/Alice In Wonderland nature of the United Nations, this is not nearly as far-fetched as one would hope it to be.
Jan. 20, 2010
NEW YORK—When American diplomats sat down for the first in a series of face-to-face talks with their Iranian counterparts last October in Geneva, few would have predicted that what began as a negotiation over Tehran’s nuclear programs would wind up in a stunning demand by the Security Council that Israel give up its atomic weapons.
Yet that’s just what the U.N. body did this morning, in a resolution that was as striking for the way member states voted as it was for its substance. All 10 nonpermanent members voted for the resolution, along with permanent members Russia, China and the United Kingdom. France and the United States abstained. By U.N. rules, that means the resolution passes.
The U.S. abstention is sending shock waves through the international community, which has long been accustomed to the U.S. acting as Israel’s de facto protector on the Council. It also appears to reverse a decades-old understanding between Washington and Tel Aviv that the U.S. would acquiesce in Israel’s nuclear arsenal as long as that arsenal remained undeclared. The Jewish state is believed to possess as many as 200 weapons.
Tehran reacted positively to the U.S. abstention. “For a long time we have said about Mr. Obama that we see change but no improvement,” said Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki. “Now we can say there has been an improvement.”
The resolution calls for a nuclear weapons-free zone in the Middle East. It also demands that Israel sign the 1970 Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty and submit its nuclear facilities to international inspection. Two similar, albeit nonbinding, resolutions were approved last September by the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna.
…But the factors that chiefly seemed to drive the administration’s decision to abstain from this morning’s vote were more strategic than personal. Western negotiators have been pressing Iran to make good on its previous agreement in principle to ship its nuclear fuel to third countries so it could be rendered usable in Iran’s civilian nuclear facilities. The Iranians, in turn, have been adamant that they would not do so unless progress were made on international disarmament.
“The Iranians have a point,” said one senior administration official. “The U.S. can’t forever be the enforcer of a double standard where Israel gets a nuclear free ride but Iran has to abide by every letter in the NPT. President Obama has put the issue of nuclear disarmament at the center of his foreign policy agenda. His credibility is at stake and so is U.S. credibility in the Muslim world. How can we tell Tehran that they’re better off without nukes if we won’t make the same point to our Israeli friends?”
Based on Israel’s experience with the Palestinians, where they keep making concessions and getting nothing in return, one can easily see how a scenario like this would end: with Israel completely disarming to please the United States and pacify the anti-Semitic hypocrites of the world while Iran continues to develop nuclear weapons under those impotent “threats” of “harsh sanctions”… until Iran is the one with hundreds of nuclear warheads and Israel remains defenseless when Iran is finally ready to use them.
Scary thought, but—again—not nearly as far-fetched as one would hope.

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